Rusija - Zapad, ekonomske i vojne sankcije

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The U.S. Can’t Bring Russia ‘to Its Knees’
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Citat:The U.S.’s sanctions policy against Russia is evolving from trying to nudge the Kremlin in a desired direction to inflicting maximum pain. This is a slippery slope, and it’s time to consider the most extreme consequences for Russia, as well as the U.S. and its allies.

During a Senate Banking Committee hearing this week, a telling exchange took place between Republican Senator John Kennedy and the Trump administration’s senior sanctions officials.

Kennedy demanded to know what they would do if the president ordered them to bring the Russian economy "to its knees.” They wouldn’t give a straight answer, saying instead that the ramifications of such a goal would need to be assessed and that current sanctions were already aggressive. Irritated, Kennedy insisted: “But the economy hasn’t been brought to its knees!”

His frustration is understandable. The U.S. has levied sanctions, or said it will, in response to a series of Russian actions: the annexation of Crimea, the fomenting of a pro-Russian rebellion in eastern Ukraine, the attempted poisoning of an ex-spy in the U.K. and a string of cyberattacks. The list could go on — but President Vladimir Putin’s Russia has gone on doing all those things.

Treasury Undersecretary Sigal Mandelker said in her testimony that she believes Russia’s “adventurism” has indeed been checked by the economic pain the sanctions have inflicted.

That, however, looks like a statement of faith rather than fact. There is no evidence the sanctions have affected Putin’s thinking or plans. That he might like them to be lifted isn’t such proof.

Little Love from Investors
Cumulative foreign direct investment in Russia has increased in recent years, but it's still less than before Western sanctions hit

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Obviously, the U.S. measures are a nuisance on several levels. They have triggered a drop in foreign direct investment from which Russia, despite its recent economic growth, hasn’t recovered. Some big energy projects have been set back by at least a few years. Then there’s the damage to wealthy Russians and their companies. It’s unclear how many of their assets have been frozen, but a U.S. Treasury Department report to Congress this month put the number in the “hundreds of millions of dollars” in the U.S. alone.

Anyone would like such problems gone. But Russia’s unapologetic stance, and the absence of any steps by Putin that could be interpreted as a peace offering, show that the Kremlin isn’t prepared to give any ground to get the U.S. to step back. That creates the temptation in Washington to make such pressure overwhelming. Even if the Trump administration doesn’t want to go there, many legislators do.

Kennedy isn’t alone in wanting to try. Six other senators have drafted a bill that would punish investments in Russian energy projects, government bonds, as well as, essentially, any dealings with its tech industry that could facilitate malicious cyber activities. This, as well as the sanctions threatened against European companies involved in Nord Stream 2, a gas pipeline Russia is building to connect with Germany, would be close to the extent of what the U.S. can do.

In the most extreme case, Washington could impose the same kind of embargo as it did on Iran. That would make it impossible for any company with ties to the U.S. to have any dealings with Russia. It could cut off all Russia’s banks from the dollar-based financial system and punish buyers of the country’s oil and gas.

Not even the most hawkish are willing to consider the oil and gas part of this option. Russia is the biggest natural gas exporter in the world and produces about three times as much crude oil as Iran. Removing it from the market would unleash a global energy crisis. Sanctioning all $486 billion of Russia’s foreign debt would also roil markets and cause deep losses to investors — including ones based in the U.S.

The Senate bill goes about as far as is possible without setting off such cataclysms.

Further restrictions against Russia’s energy and tech industries would likely mean reprisals for U.S. companies operating in the country. The biggest 50, among them Philip Morris International Inc., PepsiCo Inc. and Procter & Gamble Co., have sales of about $16 billion there, according to Forbes Russia. The Kremlin has been as hesitant to declare war on these businesses as the last two U.S. administrations have been to use maximum economic force against the Russian energy and finance sectors.

As the U.S. begins to consider an all-out economic war, the two strategic questions it needs to answer are: what it is willing to pay to extract any concessions from the Putin government at all, and how long it is prepared to wait.

Macroeconomically, Russia, with unemployment at a record low, modest inflation and $400 billion of international reserves, is unlikely to collapse before the U.S. unleashes a global energy or debt crisis that could prompt its allies to desert it.

If less than maximum pain is applied, Russia could manage for years with relatively low growth. That is the basis for Putin’s calculations. It bodes badly for the current direction of U.S. policy. If Washington inflicts as much pain as it can — and nothing changes — it will be a painful failure for the superpower.

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Citat:
US To Impose "Very Severe" Sanctions On Russia Over Skripal Case



While US sanctions on Russia are hardly new, what is surprising this time is that the new round will include not only defense procurement and aid, but also target the country's increasingly unstable banking sector. Quote Sing: "It’s going to include banking sanctions, prohibition on procurement of defense articles, aid money -- it’s a laundry list of items that will penalize the Russian government."

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США ввели санкции против 12 российских компаний
Citat:Министерство торговли США решило ввести санкции против 12 российских компаний и институтов из-за того, что они «действуют в противовес национальной безопасности и внешнеполитическим интересам США», следует из данных Федерального реестра США.
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Na Strafor-u kažu, da:
- će Ameri Indijcima oprostiti, što su kupili S-400, ako kupe F-16.

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For Russia Change Comes SWIFT
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Citat:According to Anatoly Aksakov, head of the Russian parliamentary committee on financial markets:

The number of users of our internal financial messages’ transfer system is now greater than that of those using SWIFT. We’re already holding talks with China, Iran and Turkey, along with several other countries, on linking our system with their systems,” Aksakov said.

“They need to be properly integrated with each other in order to avoid any problems with using the countries’ internal financial messaging systems.”
Ruski platni sistem upotrebljava više od polovine institucija u Rusiji.

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Šta kaže ćika Alan Greenspan, bivši šef Fed-a, "tiskare dolara":
Citat:"If gold is a relic of history, why do Central Banks + the IMF still hold over $1T of gold? If it's meaningless, why is everybody still holding it?"
- Alan Greenspan
11:00 PM - Nov 6, 2018
U intervjuju kaže novinarki da je zlato valuta, i da mu niko nije ravan, pa ni dolar. I onda što je i na Tviteru, ako je zlato historija, što ga centralne banke drže?

• 4Ovo se svidja korisnicima: voja64, amstel, amaterSRB, Krusarac
  
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Uloguj se preko Facebooka da bi video sliku:

Napisano: 28 Nov 2018 14:30

Citat:„Naš cilj nije odlazak od dolara, već dolar odlazi od nas. Oni koji preduzimaju odgovarajuće odluke, ne pucaju više sebi u nogu, već malo više“, rekao je Putin.
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Dopuna: 02 Dec 2018 17:27

Ne samo da mu saveznike skida, nego Putin izgleda ide do kraja


Probija embargo kao Bruno X.

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Američki ultimatum Rusima: Imate dva meseca

Vašington -- Američki državni sekretar Majk Pompeo rekao je da Rusija ima 60 dana da ispuni obaveze iz sporazuma o nuklearnim snagama srednjeg dometa (INF).
Izvor: B92, Tanjug utorak, 4.12.2018. | 18:57

U suprotnom, rekao je Pompeo, SAD će napustiti sporazum.

Kako je rekao, Rusija "vara" u svojoj kontroli oružja.

Pompeo kaže da više ne postoji strateški smisao da SAD budu jedina država koja će poštovati INF, a da će evropske države obavestiti o svojim sledećim koracima, prenosi Rojters.

Poručio je da samo Rusija može da spase INF, prizna da je kršila sporazum, a potom ponovo počne da ga poštuje.

U suprotnom, Pompeo je naglasio da će SAD biti primorane da započnu izlazak iz INF-a, koji će trajati šest meseci. "Domet raketa predstavlja direktnu pretnju po Evropu", rekao je Pompeo, misleći na ruske krstareće rakete "SSC-8", odnosno raketni sistem 9M729.

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boyce :: Imate dva meseca

Дакле споразум пада...с обзиром како је срочен ''позив'' и то изгледа намерно...

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China Going after Apple
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Citat:The court has banned the import and sale of nearly all iPhone models in China, according to a statement Monday from Qualcomm. Apple is already disputing the scope of the ban, saying it only applies to iPhones that run on an older operating system

The Fuzhou Intermediate People’s Court in China granted the two preliminary injunctions against four Apple subsidiaries in China. It relates to two Qualcomm patents that enable users to adjust and reformat the size and appearance of photos and to manage applications using a touch screen when viewing and navigating apps on their phones. iPhones are currently sold with the operating system iOS 12.
Posle aretacije direktorice financija družbe Huawei u Kanadi su Kinezi krenuli protiv Apple-a.
Za sada je zabrana prodaja onih atikala koji su na starima operac. sistemima. Artikli i ukupne brojke nisu u članku.
Tako da od stanke od 90 dana u privrednom ratu između USA i Kine nema ništa. Trump ide istim putem dalje; šamar, razgovori, šamar, šamar, razgovori....